Papua New Guinea (PNG) has outstanding natural wealth, an exceptional diversity of wildlife and a growing population, most of whom live subsistence lifestyles and depend directly on the environment to provide their daily needs.
However, PNG's natural resources are being depleted rapidly, with impacts on both biodiversity and people's well-being.
This environment and climate analysis, a summary of the PNG Common Country Analysis report, collects and analyses information, examines progress, programmes and gaps, and makes recommendations about environmental topics including vulnerability to disaster, and the environmental factors relating to the people left behind.
PNG lies in the southwestern Pacific Ocean and comprises the eastern half of the world's second largest island of New Guinea and about 600 small islands. Today it comprises 21 provinces.
The island of New Guinea's geography is defined by the central high Bismarck mountain range, including the highest mountains in Oceania, with several smaller coastal ranges stretching towards the coastline (see: Digital Elevation Model). Part of the Pacific Rim of Fire, a line of volcanoes stretches along the north coast of the mainland and several of the islands are active or recently active volcanoes (see: Volcanic eruptions).
The high equatorial ranges and warm tropical seas generate high rainfall, which feed thousands of streams and rivers that have broken the landscape into many isolated and hard-to-reach plains and valleys (see: Rivers Flood Frequency for a visualization of the stretch of watersheds and their flood potential). To the north and south of the central mountain range lie vast stretches of mangroves and wetlands including the Sepik River, which is the longest river system in Papua New Guinea. Coral reefs and seagrass meadows fringe the islands and coastline, and Papua New Guinea's waters are estimated to hold the highest marine biodiversity in the Pacific.
The above map sets the context for Papua New Guinea's rich and remote geography, including its high mountains, vast river system, and high level of endemic and threatened biodiversity. The implications of this geography include:
Sustainable use of wildlife is a pillar of survival for many rural people in PNG, as a source of food, medicine, firewood, and building materials. Wildlife is also an integral part of the cultural and traditional life. Sustainability has become more difficult to ensure due to increasing human populations placing pressure on habitats for wildlife populations. The people who suffer most from biodiversity decline are the poorest, who are reliant on hunting and fishing for survival, and women and children.
The UN and development partners support a number of programs to improve biodiversity outcomes through strengthening management effectiveness, establishing a network for community collaboration and partnerships, advocacy initiatives to create a forum for conservation stakeholder, piloting demonstration initiatives and sustainable financing. One important output has been the creation of a toolkit of resources for stakeholders working in Papua New Guinea to establish, manage, and monitor protected areas, www.PNGBiodiversity.org.
In 2022, there were 61 formally gazetted protected areas in Papua New Guinea totalling just over 2.2 million ha (4.8 percent of the land area), well below the globally agreed 17% for terrestrial protected areas as stated in the Convention on Biological Diversity Aichi targets.
Representation of protected ecosystems and species falls well short of the agreed targets - only 4% of the Key Biodiversity Areas in Papua New Guinea are officially protected. Priority areas for future reservation have been identified 3 , but the resources required to create new protected areas is significant. This includes free, prior, and informed consent of landowners during the protected area proposal process.
Protected and conserved areas offer opportunities for PNG communities, as they can be a focus for funding that integrates conservation objectives with social and economic progress and the continuation of diverse cultures.
Tools have been developed to help stakeholders assess, establish, and monitor protected areas. One of these is the localized Management Effectiveness Tracking Tool (METT). You can read more about the process of developing the PNG-METT and where to download additional resources at the “METT Case Study”.
A long-term, sustained effort needs to continue at many levels to support protected areas - including in remote locations. With the support of UNDP, a national Biodiversity and Climate Fund is being established as a legally independent institution which will aim to support financial sustainability of protected area management in the country, as well as support the coordination of fund-raising efforts on behalf of protected areas.
Papua New Guinea is one of the most densely forested countries in the world, with forest covering an estimated 78 percent of the total landmass 4 .
In terms of ecosystem structure and function, carbon storage, and biodiversity, these forests are globally significant. Most forest land is owned by customary landowners who rely on forest resources for subsistence and income.
About 76 percent of forests have had no significant human disturbance. Nearly 11 percent are logged, and around 13 percent are disturbed by other activities -- namely subsistence gardening, fire and small-scale logging, such as wokabaut (mobile) sawmills. Logging activities mainly occur in low altitude (<500m) forest on plains, fans, and uplands that are easily reachable from villages 5 .
Shifting agriculture is reported to be the most significant driver of deforestation (responsible for over about two thirds), followed by oil palm plantation development 6 and logging.
Key areas of concern related to forestry include: impact of timber harvesting activities, including sustainable logging cycles and illegal logging; third parties' rights; transport and trade; and poor governance, including lack of suitable engagement with customary landowners. PNG is the largest exporter of tropical round logs in the world, exporting 84% of these logs to China. 8
Global climate model projections indicate that for PNG in the coming century: 9
For coastal people, the projected effects on the marine environment are concerning. In addition to ocean acidification, coral bleaching from higher temperatures is expected to become more severe. 10 The loss of coral reefs would be devastating for many coastal communities, where people depend on marine life for their daily subsistence as well as for income. Inland and coastal flooding increases sedimentation entering river systems, particularly from areas where forest clearing has led to increased soil erosion. The extra mud and silt runoff can kill coral reefs and damage other vital coastal ecosystems for sequestering carbon and protecting biodiversity, seagrass meadows and mangroves. Loss of these marine systems would mean the natural barriers to waves and winds disappear and the effects of severe weather events are exacerbated.
The vast natural forests of PNG play an important role in regulating climate, and PNG was traditionally a carbon sink. However, by 2015, PNG had become a net source of carbon, as a result of accelerated land clearing and land use change and increases in emissions from the energy sector.
As seen in the below graph, net emissions returned to below zero in 2017 as the rate of forest clearing and logging decreased, but emissions from energy sources have continued to increase.
Adaptation and building resilience is also a focus for the government and development partners, as impacts from climate change increase. An implementation plan for the Nationally Determined Contributions to the Paris Agreement was published in in 2021, and roadmaps for the Agriculture, Forestry, and Other Land Use (AFOLU) and the electricity sectors have also been developed. 11 PNG will submit its National Adaptation Plan (NAP) to climate change to the UNFCCC in 2022.
Many organisations are supporting PNG in meeting its climate commitments and to help its people adapt the climate challenges. UNDP is a key development partner, along with other UN and intergovernmental agencies; governments, including Australia, USA and New Zealand, the European Union and its member states; and a number of NGOs and other institutions. The 2022 Biennial Update Report lists 26 partner projects and estimates that more than USD 1 billion will be needed over the next 10 years to achieve the Enhanced NDC targets. 12
PNG is among the most disaster-prone countries in the world. Prevalent hazards include earthquakes, cyclones, storms, volcanic eruptions, riverine and coastal flooding, coastal erosion, tsunamis, epidemics, and droughts. 13
Climate-related hazards are expected to become increasingly severe as a result of climate change (e.g. droughts, sea level rise). The INFORM Risk Index (2022) ranked PNG as the 22nd most vulnerable of 189 countries in relation to hazard and exposure, vulnerability, and lack of coping capacity.
Natural and environmental disasters particularly affect the most vulnerable in the community, including children, women, the elderly, people living with disability and the rural poor. Gender-based violence after disasters has been reported widely.
Investment in disaster planning, response and recovery is largely funded from external development assistance. UNDP and other development partners continue to fund activities that aim to strengthen disaster prevention, response and recovery including expanding early warning systems, and local area preparedness, response and recovery.
The primary identified risks to biodiversity and the environment all have additional impacts on people and communities. Women and other 'left behind' groups in PNG tend to suffer most from environmental disasters and decline.
About 87 percent of Papua New Guinea's population live in peri-urban, rural and remote settlements, and 80 percent rely on artisanal fishing, hunting, gathering and gardening for livelihoods and subsistences. 15 There is little cash flow and limited access to health care, education, sanitation and clean water. 16 40 percent of Papua New Guineans live below the international poverty line. 17
Rural and remote communities are vulnerable to shocks resulting from extractive industries, especially where people are largely dependent on the local environment for their livelihoods.
The remoteness of many of PNG's rural communities can create immense challenges for responding to disasters effectively, and lack of local infrastructure and health services can have long-lasting impacts on communities following catastrophic events. 18
Climate change is already affecting the most disadvantaged and will result in many more people being 'left behind' unless actions are taken. Women and children suffer most adversely, and it was reported that “women…(are) often most vocal about dimensions of vulnerability (e.g. population growth) and their links to social issues (e.g. alcoholism, domestic violence and petty crime) that they viewed as likely to be heightened through ecosystem decline”. 19
Recommendation for improving environmental management and governance can be grouped into seven headings:
UN agencies can support and assist the government, where relevant, and can further promote policies and actions toward achieving the SDGs.